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Still Counting: Trump vs. The BLUE WAVE: A Midterm Extravaganza

Sep 11, 2026 · 22m

Summary

In the debut episode of *Still Counting*, Nate Silver, Claire Malone, and Galen Drew analyze the 2026 midterm election landscape using their new model, Flipper. The hosts discuss the 50/50 Senate forecast and the 83% probability of a Democratic House majority, attributing shifts to likely voter polling and Republican enthusiasm. They play a game analyzing competitive Senate races in North Carolina, Michigan, and Iowa, debating candidate viability and the impact of progressive platforms on voter turnout.

Topics discussed

Introduction to the Still Counting podcast series Sponsored segment for OxyClean stain remover Sponsored segment for ChatGPT for Business Host introductions and episode overview Host backgrounds and professional histories Call to action for subscriptions and reviews Analysis of Senate forecast and model adjustments Introduction of the competitive races game Discussion on candidate ads and political tone Analysis of the North Carolina Senate race Deep dive into the Michigan Senate race dynamics Brief mention of the Iowa Senate race Closing remarks and subscription reminder Sponsored segment for JOY baby gear Sponsored segment for ChatGPT Work Sponsored segment for Midas tire services
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