What A Day What A Day

Should You Trust Midterm Polling?

Sep 24, 2026 · 27m

Summary

Jane Coastin covers President Trump's meeting with Xi Jinping and the dismissal of his lawsuit against the Des Moines Register. She then joins Galen Druce to analyze the surge in midterm polling, discussing why more polls are being conducted and how to distinguish high-quality data from outliers. The conversation explores the expected margin of error in current forecasts, the divergence between pollsters and expert raters, and the limited impact of prediction markets on voter behavior.

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