Quaest mostra mais medo de vitória de Lula que de Bolsonaro; plenária sobre Moraes será teste para Fachin
Summary
Vera Magalhães analyzes the Quest poll showing Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula in the Southeast and among women, driven by anti-PT sentiment and the STF crisis. Guests Pedro Doria and Fábio Zambelli discuss the pivotal Supreme Court session regarding Alexandre de Moraes, noting that the court's credibility is declining and that the outcome will significantly impact the election. The episode highlights how evangelical women are shifting support to Bolsonaro due to the conflict involving Justice André Mendonça, while Lula struggles to mobilize his base against the narrative of institutional cri…
Topics discussed
Introduction and guest introductions
Polling results: Flávio Bolsonaro leads in Southeast
Analysis of the 'swing vote' in São Paulo peripheries
Regional advantages and the decline of local palanques
Abstention rates and their impact on the second round
Mobilization strategies: fear and anti-PT sentiment
Fear of Lula vs. fear of Bolsonaro: national and regional data
Shift in support among women and evangelical voters
Supreme Court crisis and its effect on evangelical women
Bolsonaro family dynamics and historical views on women
Commercial break and listener participation
Supreme Court vote: Minister Carmen Lúcia's pivotal role
Impact of the STF decision on the presidential election
Ministerial strategies: delay vs. institutional credibility
Predictions for Minister Lúcia's vote and procedural delays
Political consequences of the STF ruling on Lula's campaign
Procedural tactics and media access to the STF session
Digital engagement and the challenge for Chief Justice Fachin
Listener question: Janja's role in appealing to female voters
Economic policies and the end of the 6x1 program
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