The TPM Show with Josh and Kate The TPM Show with Josh and Kate

Riding the Pollercoaster

Aug 19, 2026 · 58m

Summary

The hosts celebrate hitting their $500,000 fundraising goal before dissecting a bizarre fake polling experiment and analyzing recent primary results in Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, and Alaska. They discuss the implications of these races, including El-Sayed’s path to recoalescing Democrats in Michigan and Mary Peltola’s challenge in Alaska. The episode also covers a pollster’s thesis on Democratic overperformance in early polls and John Ossoff’s viral stump speech referencing Trump aide Natalie Harp.

Topics discussed

TPM Fund Drive Success and Thanks to Donors Fake Polls Scandal and Wisconsin Primary Analysis El-Said Primary, Haley Stevens, and Campaign Symbolism Patrick Ruffini's Analysis of Democratic Polling Bias Primary Results: Alexander Winn in Florida Alaska Senate Race and Other State Primaries Natalie Harp, John Ossoff, and Trump's Inner Circle
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