The Real Eisman Playbook The Real Eisman Playbook

Q3 2026 Market Recap: Energy Up, Utilities Crushed, and Software Flipped | The Weekly Wrap

Oct 9, 2026 · 25m

Summary

Steve Eisman analyzes emerging economic stress, including rising mortgage rates and distressed leveraged loans, alongside the geopolitical impact of the Iran conflict on oil and interest rates. He provides a detailed third-quarter market review, noting that the S&P 500 is now heavily concentrated in AI, effectively becoming "one trade" that undermines traditional diversification. Eisman explains sector performance, highlighting energy’s strength due to war-driven oil prices and the reversal of the "SaaSpocalypse" narrative that boosted software stocks. He also updates his positions on FICO …

Topics discussed

Sponsor reads: Checkout.com and Anthropic Economic stress signs and AI diversification concerns Show intro, schedule changes, and episode agenda Iran war, oil prices, and market drivers Mortgage rates and distressed leveraged loans France's sovereign debt crisis vs. US Treasuries Q3 macro review: AI debt, Fed rate hike, and yields S&P 500 performance and the case for index investing Market concentration: The S&P as a single AI trade Sector performance overview: Energy and Infotech Energy sector analysis: Oil surge and market weight Infotech reversal: SaaSpocalypse narrative flip Sponsor read: Ramp expense management Healthcare sector: Safety play in uncertain times Financials: Bank valuation peaks and recession fears Consumer Discretionary and Industrials: Housing and AI Utilities: AI capex, rising rates, and ratepayer backlash Stock updates: Covering FICO and selling Glasshouse Diversification away from AI: Bonds and Treasuries Upcoming interviews and subscription promotion
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