Can We Actually Trust the Midterm Polls?
Summary
In this episode of "The Making of a President," host Peter Alexander joins elections analyst Lakshaa Jain to analyze the 2026 midterms and the state of polling. They discuss why Democrats hold an 80-90% chance of winning the House due to Trump’s plummeting approval ratings, contrasting data models with the skepticism of political insiders. The conversation also covers the decline in poll reliability caused by low response rates, the prevalence of low-quality partisan surveys, and the specific challenges of accurately polling primary elections versus general races.
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