The Indicator from Planet Money The Indicator from Planet Money

When will the Iran war hit food prices?

May 6, 2026 · 7m

Summary

Food economist David Ortega explains how the Iran war’s impact on diesel and fertilizer costs could raise U.S. grocery bills by 2-5% within six months. Perishable items like produce, dairy, and meat will likely see price hikes first due to transportation needs. While the U.S. may face modest increases, the disruption threatens a global food crisis by affecting access and affordability in vulnerable regions.

Topics discussed

Intro: Grocery prices flat but war impacts loom Sponsors: Washington Wise, Mint Mobile, Tiny Desk Guest Intro: Food Economist David Ortega How diesel and fertilizer costs drive up food prices Timeline and magnitude of expected price hikes Which grocery items will see price increases first Global food crisis risks and access issues Credits and closing sponsor messages
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