The Herd with Colin Cowherd The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL WEEK 1 Bets: Gambling Picks & Predictions

Sep 13, 2026 · 24m

Summary

Chad Millman and Simon Hunter finalize their five official NFL Week 1 picks, selecting Tampa Bay +3.5, Houston +1.5, Carolina +3, New York Giants +3.5, and Minnesota -1.5. The hosts analyze sharp money movements, public betting trends, and injury reports, specifically discussing the impact of Tua Tagovailoa's absence on the Steelers-Falcons matchup and the value in underdogs like the Browns and Bears. They also highlight their "Closing Time Trade" on the Texans and "Brass Balls Trade" on the Dolphins, explaining their strategic shifts based on current line movements and prediction market data.

Topics discussed

Sponsor: ChatGPT Work for productivity Sponsor: Eglis for eczema treatment Sponsor: Sprite Living Track List campaign Sponsor: State Farm mood check Show intro and contest update Pick analysis: Tampa Bay at Cincinnati Pick analysis: Cleveland at Jacksonville Pick analysis: Pittsburgh at Atlanta Closing Time Trade: Houston at Buffalo Sponsor: Polymarket prediction market Sponsor: ChatGPT for Business Sponsor: Sprite Living Track List deep dive Sponsor: Head Start podcast on migraine Sponsor: T-Mobile Super Broadband Pick analysis: Chicago at Carolina Brass Balls Trade: Miami at Las Vegas Favorite analysis: Minnesota at Green Bay Pick analysis: New York Giants at Dallas Final 5 picks recap and sign-off Outro sponsors and credits
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