Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL WEEK 1 Bets: Gambling Picks & Predictions
Sep 13, 2026 · 24m
Summary
Chad Millman and Simon Hunter finalize their five official NFL Week 1 picks, selecting Tampa Bay +3.5, Houston +1.5, Carolina +3, New York Giants +3.5, and Minnesota -1.5. The hosts analyze sharp money movements, public betting trends, and injury reports, specifically discussing the impact of Tua Tagovailoa's absence on the Steelers-Falcons matchup and the value in underdogs like the Browns and Bears. They also highlight their "Closing Time Trade" on the Texans and "Brass Balls Trade" on the Dolphins, explaining their strategic shifts based on current line movements and prediction market data.
Topics discussed
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Show intro and contest update
Pick analysis: Tampa Bay at Cincinnati
Pick analysis: Cleveland at Jacksonville
Pick analysis: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Closing Time Trade: Houston at Buffalo
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Pick analysis: Chicago at Carolina
Brass Balls Trade: Miami at Las Vegas
Favorite analysis: Minnesota at Green Bay
Pick analysis: New York Giants at Dallas
Final 5 picks recap and sign-off
Outro sponsors and credits
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