The Hard Shoulder The Hard Shoulder

U.S. elections: what to expect

Oct 26, 2026 · 10m

Summary

Scott Lucas, a professor at the Clinton Institute, analyzes the upcoming US midterm elections, predicting Democrats will likely secure the House and are competitive for the Senate. The discussion highlights key battleground states like Texas, Ohio, and Alaska, noting how economic concerns and perceived corruption are driving voter sentiment. Lucas also warns of potential legal challenges and attempts by the Trump administration to undermine the election results, which could further polarize the political landscape.

Topics discussed

Sponsor: ArcGIS Field Maps from Esri Ireland Introduction to US Midterms and Guest Scott Lucas Overview of seats up for grabs and current political stakes Polling analysis: House majority and Senate race outlook Key battleground states: Maine, Alaska, Michigan, Texas Decisive states: Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and impact of tariffs Gerrymandering backlash and allegations of corruption Elections as referendum on Trump and cost of living Potential refusal to accept results and DOJ control Future of Republican Congress and internal challenges Alaska election dispute and legal challenges to certification Pre-election signaling and seizure of voting records
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