The Hard Shoulder The Hard Shoulder

US Midterms: Voting booths are open - who will win?

Nov 3, 2026 · 11m

Summary

Hosted by Keira Kelly, this episode features a panel of political experts analyzing the US midterm elections, with polls suggesting a "blue wave" for Democrats. Guests Niall Stanage, Brett Bruin, and Matt Mayer discuss the likely loss of the House, the impact of high turnout, and the Republican Party's poor candidate selection. The conversation also covers Donald Trump's recent funding threats to Israel, his potential "lame duck" status, and the emerging 2028 Republican primary contenders.

Topics discussed

Show introduction and host welcome Midterm election context and guest introduction Niall Stanage on polling trends and turnout Challenges in polling accuracy and MAGA voters Trump's announcement on Israel funding Brett Bruin on Trump's closing message Democratic confidence and the 'blue tsunami' Impact of potential Democratic sweep on Congress Matt Mayer introduction and initial assessment Iran policy and Republican voter fatigue Bush family stance on Ken Paxton endorsement Republican candidate selection failures in Ohio Future of Trump presidency and legislative warfare Executive power and potential Middle East escalation 2028 Republican succession and key contenders
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