US Midterm Elections take place tomorrow
Summary
Mark Little joins the show to analyze the final push ahead of the US midterm elections, predicting a likely Democratic House victory but a contested Senate race. The discussion highlights key battleground states like Michigan, Texas, and South Carolina, examining how voter turnout and candidate controversies could shift outcomes. Little also explores the long-term effects of gerrymandering and political polarization on House competitiveness, noting emerging economic changes in the New South that may erode partisan sorting.
Topics discussed
Introduction and guest Mark Little
House control and the key Senate question
Polling data and unexpected Democratic leads
The impact of narrow margins on results
Identifying the six key Senate races
South Carolina dynamics and voter apathy
The critical role of Black voter turnout
Republican concerns about radical candidates
Alaska ballot controversy and dirty tricks
Michigan primary feud and voter reaction
Other competitive states and election math
Decline in competitive House races
The Big Sort and gerrymandering effects
Economic shifts in the New South
Predicting the final outcome
Timeline for results and closing remarks
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