The Hard Shoulder The Hard Shoulder

Trump scraps last two election rallies ahead of midterms

Oct 30, 2026 · 8m

Summary

In this episode of The Hard Shoulder, host and guest Greg Swenson of Republicans Overseas analyze the US midterm elections with four days remaining. They discuss the likely Democratic House majority, the five key Senate toss-up races, and the legal controversy in Alaska involving a fraudulent candidate registration. Swenson argues that Republicans have a "common sense" advantage over radical Democratic candidates and predicts they will hold the Senate majority despite the president's low approval ratings.

Topics discussed

Sponsor: Air Nav Ireland Student Controller Programme Introduction: US Midterm Election Overview Republican momentum and 'common sense' advantage House of Representatives: Democratic majority confirmed Senate races: Identifying the five key toss-ups Alaska controversy: Ranked choice voting and ballot fraud Polling accuracy and the 'underpolling' of Republicans Texas Senate race: Factors making it competitive Donald Trump's impact on turnout and candidate liability Final predictions and closing remarks
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