Trump scraps last two election rallies ahead of midterms
Oct 30, 2026 · 8m
Summary
In this episode of The Hard Shoulder, host and guest Greg Swenson of Republicans Overseas analyze the US midterm elections with four days remaining. They discuss the likely Democratic House majority, the five key Senate toss-up races, and the legal controversy in Alaska involving a fraudulent candidate registration. Swenson argues that Republicans have a "common sense" advantage over radical Democratic candidates and predicts they will hold the Senate majority despite the president's low approval ratings.
Topics discussed
Sponsor: Air Nav Ireland Student Controller Programme
Introduction: US Midterm Election Overview
Republican momentum and 'common sense' advantage
House of Representatives: Democratic majority confirmed
Senate races: Identifying the five key toss-ups
Alaska controversy: Ranked choice voting and ballot fraud
Polling accuracy and the 'underpolling' of Republicans
Texas Senate race: Factors making it competitive
Donald Trump's impact on turnout and candidate liability
Final predictions and closing remarks
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