The Hard Shoulder The Hard Shoulder

Israel election polls - the results so far

Oct 28, 2026 · 6m

Summary

Dr. Ethan Zelgov analyzes the recent Israeli election, arguing that while opposition parties won a majority, Benjamin Netanyahu retains significant power by delegitimizing Arab parties and exploiting opposition fragmentation. The discussion explores Netanyahu's tactical strategies to block coalition formation, including the potential for a new war or triggering another election. Zelgov concludes that Netanyahu's long-term survival depends on whether Zionist and Arab parties can overcome their divisions to form a governing coalition.

Topics discussed

Introduction and question on Netanyahu's election results Comparing Israel's results to other populist defeats Netanyahu's loss of seats but retained political control Strategies for Netanyahu to block a new coalition Tactics including war coalitions and future election odds Surge in Arab voter turnout as protest against policy Netanyahu's leverage via one-time liberal voter influx Long-term outlook and health concerns for Netanyahu Feasibility of Zionist-Arab party coalition compromise Closing remarks and show sign-off Advertisement for Ireland's construction workforce needs
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