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Is Trump sacrificing Ukraine for cheaper diesel?

Oct 19, 2026 · 26m

Summary

This episode examines the surge in global diesel prices driven by concurrent disruptions from the Iran conflict and Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries. Host Tristan Redmond and BBC Verify’s Ben Chu analyze how these supply shocks have fueled inflation in the US, prompting President Trump to abruptly reverse policy by agreeing to import Russian diesel ahead of midterm elections. The discussion covers the collapse of this deal, the resulting diplomatic rift with Ukraine, and the geopolitical implications of easing sanctions on Russia’s shadow fleet to address domestic fuel costs.

Topics discussed

Sponsorships: Schwab and Odoo Ukrainian diplomat calls for total isolation of Russia Introduction of Ben Chu and listener email How US-Israel strikes on Iran affected fuel prices Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries and timing The critical role of diesel in the global economy Current fuel prices vs Trump's $2 goal Fact-checking: Diesel vs Gasoline price trends Comparing impact of Iran and Russia on diesel supply The collapse of the US-Russia diesel deal and ceasefire Why Trump pursued the deal despite small volumes Sponsorships: Stiefel and OnDeck Explaining Russia's shadow fleet and potential sanctions The trade-off between US fuel prices and Ukraine US policy direction and blaming Zelensky Starlink update and episode credits
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