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48 Days Until the Midterms: Is a Blue Wave Coming?

Sep 16, 2026 · 36m

Summary

A new New York Times poll indicates Democrats have a nine-point advantage, suggesting a potential wave election to retake both chambers of Congress. Host Michael Smerconish discusses these findings with colleagues Shane Goldmacher, Maggie Haberman, and Nate Cohn, highlighting President Trump’s low approval ratings on cost of living and his strategy to make the election personal. The conversation covers the Republican Party’s massive financial advantage, the impact of Democratic Socialist nominees, and emerging issues like AI and data centers. The panel also analyzes specific Senate races, s…

Topics discussed

Sponsor: Teram AI memory technology Intro: Midterm election outlook and guests Roundtable banter and election context Poll results: Democrats lead by 9 points Trump's low approval on cost of living Trump's impact on Republican party morale Trump's 'pledge' speech and midterm strategy Nate Cohn: Math of red state competitiveness Senate map: Path to Democratic majority Texas Senate race: Tallarico vs. Paxton Summary: Democrats' potential Senate win Sponsor: Teram and NYT Tech column Financial advantage: Republicans' war chest Why Democrats are struggling to fundraise Impact of ad spending on race outcomes Rise of Democratic Socialists and GOP attacks Polling on 'too far left' and midterm dynamics Islamophobia and the Michigan Senate race Sleeper issue: Data centers and AI politics Trump's reaction to potential loss of Congress Nate Cohn: Turning a page in American politics Outro: Sponsors and other news headlines
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