Haley Stevens Flips Against El-Sayed & the Media Goes Poll-Crazy | Michael Lewis
Nov 3, 2026 · 56m
Summary
John Deere satirizes the media's obsessive and contradictory coverage of unreliable midterm polls, mocking the "blue wave" hype and the chaotic Senate race dynamics. He also highlights the political fallout from Haley Stevens endorsing Republican Mike Rogers after a rift with Abdul El-Sayed. The episode features author Michael Lewis, who discusses his new book on the "deep state," detailing the Trump administration's hostile takeover of federal agencies and the resilience of civil servants.
Topics discussed
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Trump's speech at the Lincoln Memorial reflecting pool
Critique of Trump's priorities and pool maintenance
Democratic wave election prospects and Michigan drama
Michigan Senate race: Abdul vs. Rogers and Stevens
Haley Stevens' split with Abdul's campaign
Speculation on Stevens' sudden campaign exit
Jewish identity jokes and cultural references
Impact of the Stevens-Abdul split on the coalition
Media obsession with polling and the 'siren song'
New CNN polls showing Democratic leads
Media manipulation of viewer emotions via polls
Criticism of media's expanding poll screens
Discussion on margins of error and poll reliability
Focus on specific states: Iowa and Maine
Senate majority path and polling skepticism
NYT's own admission of poll inaccuracies
Analysis of scary polling numbers for Republicans
Cautionary notes on Senate race unpredictability
Democratic lead building toward 'electoral heaven'
Historical context and Mitch McConnell's influence
Reflection on past polling failures and surprises
Critique of media hyping unreliable polls
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Transition to interview with Michael Lewis
Michael Lewis on civil servants and government function
Lewis' discovery of high-quality government workers
Demoralization of civil servants under current admin
Civil servants as 'kicked dogs' and hidden stories
Extinction of government functions and species
Loyalty tests vs. ability in government hiring
Trump 2.0's battle plan to run the government
Doge's takeover of the Institute of Peace
Security guard's perspective on the Institute of Peace
Guns and control at the Institute of Peace
Shift in government loyalty from Constitution to Trump
Francis Collins and the NIH under assault
Collins' discovery of cystic fibrosis cause
Tribalism and darkness in government purges
Personal connections in the 'whacking' of scientists
Assault on selfless public servants
Power dynamics and villainizing researchers
Psychological need for power and cruelty
Doge's savings claims and reality check
Young men in Doge and their motivations
Doge members asking questions and curiosity
Tax app and government efficiency
Need for constant government refreshment
Optimism and listening to the right people
Nation of problem solvers and community action
Electoral price for recklessness and cruelty
Importance of explaining government function
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Midterms debate: Votes vs. Results
CNN Magic Wall: Senate race zero votes
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