The Compound and Friends The Compound and Friends

AI Darlings Wrecked, Earnings Preview META, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, Rate Hike Spook, Nvidia’s OpenAI Deal

Jul 28, 2026 · 48m

Summary

Hosts Josh and Michael preview earnings for Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple, focusing on AI capex guidance and market reactions. They analyze the severe semiconductor sell-off, arguing it is a healthy correction of an earnings bubble rather than a valuation crash. The discussion also covers the resilience of the broader market, driven by industrials and financials, despite the underperformance of the Mag 7.

Topics discussed

Intro, shout-outs, and DBMF ETF sponsor segment Microsoft earnings preview: AI strategy, CapEx, and backlog Meta earnings preview: Ad spending, CapEx, and capital allocation Amazon earnings preview: Cloud growth, CapEx guidance, and Prime Day impact Apple earnings preview: AI on-device focus and Tim Cook's final report Market dynamics: Momentum stocks vs. cheap value traps Sector rotation: Mag 7 underperformance and defensive leaders OpenAI funding deal with Nvidia and SoftBank Semiconductor crash: Corning, memory chips, and valuation resets Fed rate hike speculation and closing remarks
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