The Bulwark Daily The Bulwark Daily

Dave Weigel: Polls Wrong, Hong Gone

Aug 12, 2026 · 51m

Summary

Host Tim Miller opens by condemning ICE misconduct, citing a video of an agent pointing a gun at a driver and the detention of legal residents in Texas camps. He then welcomes guest Dave Weigel to analyze recent Democratic primary upsets, including David Crowley’s victory in Wisconsin and Luke Bronin’s win in Connecticut. They discuss the party’s shift away from older incumbents and progressive candidates toward populist, energetic challengers. Finally, they review Nate Silver’s optimistic Senate forecasts for Democrats, highlighting potential flips in Texas and Maine.

Topics discussed

National Guard presence and traffic stop video Internment camps and the Miriam Tomasebi case Ad read for Aura digital photo frames Wisconsin primary: Francesca Hong vs. Chris Crowley Ad read for AVEN home equity loans Campaign spending and the 'establishment' label Impact of ICE operations and the Lake-Riley Act vote War on gerontocracy: Larson and Mills races Massachusetts primary: Moulton vs. Markey Senate map outlook and Republican recruitment issues John Fetterman's political future and Senate math
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