Dave Weigel: Polls Wrong, Hong Gone
Aug 12, 2026 · 51m
Summary
Host Tim Miller opens by condemning ICE misconduct, citing a video of an agent pointing a gun at a driver and the detention of legal residents in Texas camps. He then welcomes guest Dave Weigel to analyze recent Democratic primary upsets, including David Crowley’s victory in Wisconsin and Luke Bronin’s win in Connecticut. They discuss the party’s shift away from older incumbents and progressive candidates toward populist, energetic challengers. Finally, they review Nate Silver’s optimistic Senate forecasts for Democrats, highlighting potential flips in Texas and Maine.
Topics discussed
National Guard presence and traffic stop video
Internment camps and the Miriam Tomasebi case
Ad read for Aura digital photo frames
Wisconsin primary: Francesca Hong vs. Chris Crowley
Ad read for AVEN home equity loans
Campaign spending and the 'establishment' label
Impact of ICE operations and the Lake-Riley Act vote
War on gerontocracy: Larson and Mills races
Massachusetts primary: Moulton vs. Markey
Senate map outlook and Republican recruitment issues
John Fetterman's political future and Senate math
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