Bill Kristol: The Paxton Nightmare Is Costing Republicans Big Time
Oct 12, 2026 · 57m
Summary
The episode dissects the debunked "Lindner Center" smear campaign against James Talarico, highlighting the desperation of the Ken Paxton campaign and the MAGA right's willingness to spread misinformation. Hosts Bill and Sarah also analyze the Texas governor's race, arguing that Democrats should prioritize funding for Gina Hinojosa over safer races like Oregon. The discussion covers polling data showing significant swings among working-class voters, the impact of the Iran war on global energy prices, and the critical importance of winning Senate seats for a potential 2028 Democratic trifecta.
Topics discussed
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Show intro and Bill Kristol's absence
The false story of James Talarico in a mental facility
MAGA media amplification and the 'Jack Smith' parallel
Consequences for spreading conspiracy theories
Hiring of controversial figures in the administration
Impact on the Texas gubernatorial race
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Discussion on in-play Senate races (Idaho, SC, FL)
Strategy debate: Focus on Texas Governor's race
Long-term implications of winning Texas and Ohio
Fundraising appeals for NY-21 and Kentucky-6
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Analysis of Virginia House races and redistricting
Recommendation for 'Dope Sick' TV show
Polling data on white working class swing
Economic impact of gas prices on voters
2028 Senate map and Democratic trifecta odds
House vs Senate focus and 'too far left' polling
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US-Canada trade war and energy imports
Trump's energy ceasefire and Russian escalation
Tom Cotton's silence on Ukraine and hypocrisy
Arkansas Senate race outlook
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Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and Rubio's silence
MBS investments and Jared Kushner's influence
FBI raid on Ilhan Omar and media coverage
Weaponization of DHS and DOJ against foes
Immigration detentions and political intimidation
Nature of authoritarianism and executive power
Closing thoughts on the next two years
Credits and production team
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