The Breakdown The Breakdown

Rick Wilson

Oct 6, 2026 · 31m

Summary

Rick Wilson, co-founder of the Lincoln Project, joins Harry Litman to analyze the 2024 midterms, predicting a "tsunami" of Democratic gains due to Trump’s plummeting approval ratings and economic damage. Wilson argues that Republican consultants view the election as already lost, noting that massive spending is failing to offset voter anger over tariffs, inflation, and foreign policy. He highlights strong Democratic performances in Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina, while cautioning that the GOP will likely remain chaotic and Trump-centric even after losing power.

Topics discussed

Sponsor: She's Birdie Birdie Box Introduction of guest Rick Wilson Republican panic and the midterm outlook The trap of distancing from Trump Economic damage and the cast die Trump's campaigning strategy and locations Why money isn't saving Republican candidates Sponsor: Quince fall clothing Advice for Democratic campaigns Highlighting top-performing candidates Sponsor: iHeartRadio Alter Ego More standout Democratic campaigns Analysis of the Texas Senate race Potential seismic shifts in key states Maine, Alaska, and spending ROI Sleeper races in Kansas, Nebraska, and Montana Future of the Republican Party post-midterms Closing remarks
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