Ian Bremmer analyzes the ongoing conflicts in Iran and Ukraine, detailing the stalemate in the Gulf and potential resolutions. He discusses Trump’s strategic options, including military escalation or Gulf-led negotiations, while noting the economic impact of closed shipping lanes. On Ukraine, Bremmer assesses Russia’s asymmetric warfare and the low likelihood of a tactical nuclear strike. He concludes that global disruption may be peaking as Trump’s power limits become clearer.
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