The Good, The Bad and The Ugly: Midterms Update
Oct 21, 2026 · 1h 2m
Summary
The hosts analyze the shifting momentum in key Senate races, noting that Republican candidates in Ohio and Iowa are gaining ground despite national headwinds, while Democrats struggle in Kansas. They contrast traditional polling data with new prediction market insights from a partnership with Kalshi, highlighting discrepancies in public sentiment. The episode also features a segment exposing the financial wealth of Kansas Democrat Adam Hamilton and critiques Maine candidate Troy Jackson for hypocrisy regarding billionaire donations.
Topics discussed
Intro: Election noise and GOP early voting push
Podcast milestone and show introduction
Ohio Senate race: Husted vs. Brown polling trends
Iowa Senate race: Hinson's momentum and split ticket
Historical context of Republican turnout in red states
Prediction markets vs. polling in key races
Sponsor: American Petroleum Institute energy security
Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall analysis
North Carolina and Georgia Senate race outlooks
Georgia Governor race: Jackson vs. Bottoms dynamics
Adam Hamilton financial disclosures and data center conflict
Maine Senate ad: Troy Jackson 'cousin' controversy
Sponsor: Southern Company data center costs
Interview: CalShe CEO on prediction markets and accuracy
Post-interview discussion on market utility
Listener comments on France riots and curfews
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