Insider’s Guide to Election Night: How to Know Who’s Winning
Oct 30, 2026 · 1h 20m
Summary
Hosts Josh Holmes, Michael Duncan, and John Ashbrook provide an insider’s guide to key election night indicators, analyzing critical districts in Kentucky, Maine, Ohio, and the Carolinas to gauge Republican turnout. They discuss the Maine Senate race, highlighting Susan Collins’ campaign and a scandal involving Democrat Troy Jackson’s misleading "logger" persona. The episode also covers the impact of rural early voting in Ohio and concludes with a discussion on the "vibes" of the election cycle and the perceived threat of a return to 2020-style politics.
Topics discussed
Intro, Qualcomm and GOPVotes ads
Election night cheat sheet and live stream promo
Kentucky 6th District and Andy Barr's margin
Kentucky Senate mail-in vote reporting
Maine Senate race and Susan Collins
Maine House district and Paul LePage
Susan Collins grassroots campaigning
Healthcare ad and transition to Carolinas
South Carolina Senate race and Roy Cooper
North Carolina ticket splitting and demographics
Florida Senate and House races
Pennsylvania key districts: PA-8, PA-7, PA-1
Kalshi prediction markets and polling methodology
Troy Jackson 'logger' scandal in Maine
Z-Biotics ad and guest introduction
Interview: Midterm dynamics, DSA, and Obama
Candidate quality and 'vibes' in politics
Texas, parent issues, and healthcare policy
House/Senate outlook and 2028 cycle
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