Nate and Maria’s 2026 Predictions
Jan 7, 2026 · 37m
Summary
In the final episode of Risky Business, hosts Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova reflect on their two-year run and review their 2025 predictions, noting mixed results on Bitcoin, politics, and sports. They discuss the disappointing experience of the WSOP Paradise tournament versus the superior Wynn event, and debate the rising threat of AI-generated misinformation. The duo offers new forecasts for 2026, including Democratic gains in the House, a nuclear power resurgence, and the potential for major sports gambling scandals, before Silver humorously predicts he will reach the WSOP final table.
Topics discussed
Sponsors: ChatGPT Work and Grainger
Announcement of the final episode
Reflections on two years of the show
Nate's experience at WSOP Paradise
Reviewing 2025 predictions and results
Sponsors: ChatGPT, Navy Federal, Botox
2026 predictions: Midterm elections
2026 predictions: Egg prices and game theory
2026 predictions: Epstein files prosecutions
2026 predictions: Sports gambling scandals
2026 predictions: OKC Thunder season
Sponsors: ChatGPT, Navy Federal, Botox
2026 predictions: AI deepfakes and news
Discussion on misinformation and Charlie Kirk
2026 predictions: AI model dominance
2026 predictions: NYC free bus pilot
2026 predictions: Poker and women's golf
Closing remarks and credits
Sponsors: ChatGPT, Sierra Nevada, Navy Federal
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