Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Nate and Maria’s 2026 Predictions

Jan 7, 2026 · 37m

Summary

In the final episode of Risky Business, hosts Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova reflect on their two-year run and review their 2025 predictions, noting mixed results on Bitcoin, politics, and sports. They discuss the disappointing experience of the WSOP Paradise tournament versus the superior Wynn event, and debate the rising threat of AI-generated misinformation. The duo offers new forecasts for 2026, including Democratic gains in the House, a nuclear power resurgence, and the potential for major sports gambling scandals, before Silver humorously predicts he will reach the WSOP final table.

Topics discussed

Sponsors: ChatGPT Work and Grainger Announcement of the final episode Reflections on two years of the show Nate's experience at WSOP Paradise Reviewing 2025 predictions and results Sponsors: ChatGPT, Navy Federal, Botox 2026 predictions: Midterm elections 2026 predictions: Egg prices and game theory 2026 predictions: Epstein files prosecutions 2026 predictions: Sports gambling scandals 2026 predictions: OKC Thunder season Sponsors: ChatGPT, Navy Federal, Botox 2026 predictions: AI deepfakes and news Discussion on misinformation and Charlie Kirk 2026 predictions: AI model dominance 2026 predictions: NYC free bus pilot 2026 predictions: Poker and women's golf Closing remarks and credits Sponsors: ChatGPT, Sierra Nevada, Navy Federal
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