Prof G Markets Prof G Markets

Why America’s Inflation Problem Isn’t Going Away

Jul 15, 2026 · 32m

Summary

Host Ed Elson discusses a mixed inflation report with Moody’s Mark Zandi, noting that while CPI cooled to 3.5%, rising oil prices from renewed Iran tensions threaten future stability. Zandi predicts sticky inflation and a soft labor market may keep Fed rates unchanged. Later, HSBC’s Saul Martinez analyzes Wall Street banks’ record earnings, driven by a resurgence in deal-making, trading, and AI infrastructure financing.

Topics discussed

Sponsorships and show introduction Market vitals: Inflation, oil, and IBM earnings Inflation analysis with Mark Zandi: Oil and sticky prices Labor market weakness and global inflation comparisons Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance and rate outlook Sponsorships and break Wall Street banks report record earnings Drivers of bank profits: IPOs, M&A, and AI buildout Risks to banks and AI's impact on workforce Host's closing thoughts on inflation and Iran war Closing sponsorships
Listen ad-free on Castria