Russland vor dem Kollaps. Mit Moritz Schularick
Summary
Host Rixa Fürsen interviews Kiel Institute President Moritz Schularick about their report "Endgame," which argues Russia’s war economy is collapsing as financial buffers deplete. They discuss how rising costs and dependence on China create pressure on Putin, potentially forcing negotiations. The conversation also covers EU sanctions, the need for European strategic unity, and the risks of becoming a Chinese protectorate.
Topics discussed
Intro: Russia's economic endgame and guest introduction
Russia's depleted buffers and the new economic reality
China's role, hidden debt, and Russia's fiscal constraints
The fragility of autocratic regimes and public sentiment
Sanctions effectiveness and European trade dependencies
Asymmetric leverage: EU vs Russia and China's influence
Germany's China strategy and industrial interdependence
EU unity, market power, and the need for a single voice
European defense tech: EFKAS failure and future innovation
Putin's cost-benefit analysis and the path to negotiation
Outlook for the next year and podcast conclusion
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