POLITICO Berlin Playbook POLITICO Berlin Playbook

Security-Update: Wie sich die NATO auf die Krisen von morgen vorbereitet – mit Florence Gaub

Jun 23, 2026 · 33m

Summary

Rixa Fürsten interviews Florence Gaub at NATO’s Allied 4-Sight Conference in Berlin, discussing future threats like cyber warfare and climate change ahead of the Ankara summit. They analyze US reliability under Trump, European defense spending gaps, and the strategic implications of the Iran conflict and Arctic security. Gaub argues that while crises are repetitive, NATO endures through European adaptation and shared security responsibilities.

Topics discussed

Intro: NATO Foresight Conference and future threats Ad: Private health insurance benefits Future warfare: AI, drones, and climate impacts The challenge of long military development cycles NATO Articles 3 and 5: European readiness vs US guarantees Historical context of US-European security tensions Trump's impact and European strategic autonomy Germany's defense spending and Bundeswehr reforms European defense industry weaknesses and Russia's view NATO as a security alliance, not just democratic US domestic politics and the upcoming Ankara summit Expectations for the NATO summit and Ukraine support The Arctic, Greenland, and China's growing interest Historical perspective on perpetual crisis and change NATO's future: European leadership and resilience Outro and final advertisement
Listen ad-free on Castria