Politico’s Berlin Playbook features Florence Gaub, director of research at the NATO Defense College, discussing NATO’s future amid the Ankara summit and the alliance’s 75th anniversary. Gaub analyzes the Ukraine war’s stalemate, Russia’s long-term strategy, and the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, arguing that future threats may emerge in the Arctic rather than Eastern Europe. She emphasizes the need for diverse military scenarios and highlights Europe’s growing strategic autonomy and Turkey’s rising geopolitical influence.