What August’s Inflation Report Means for You
Sep 11, 2026 · 14m
Summary
Justin Wolfers analyzes recent inflation data showing headline prices rose 3.4% and core inflation hit 0.3%, signaling that costs remain stubbornly high. He explains that real wages have fallen as energy prices surge due to the ongoing conflict in Iran, with futures markets predicting oil will stay above $80 through 2027. Consequently, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike has jumped to 86%, creating a tense standoff between the Fed and the White House. Wolfers concludes by noting that even the "Burrito Price Index" reflects these rising costs, while offering a lighthearted jab abo…
Topics discussed
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Introduction to the August inflation report
Headline inflation at 3.4% and monthly trends
Core inflation: stripping out food and energy
Real wages falling as prices outpace earnings
Iran conflict and rising oil price forecasts
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Fed rate hike odds and political pressure on Walsh
Burrito price index and closing jokes
Outro and subscription call to action
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