How to win a penalty shootout (with game theory)
Jul 3, 2026 · 17m
Summary
Planet Money explores how game theory and data analytics have transformed soccer penalty kicks, featuring experts from the Soccernomics podcast. The episode details economist Ignacio Palacios-Huerta’s research on mixed strategies and his pivotal role in the 2008 Champions League final, where Chelsea’s reliance on his data ultimately backfired. It also examines how modern teams now combine statistical reports with psychological preparation to master the mind games of shootouts.
Topics discussed
Intro: Tiny Desk Contest Tour and Planet Money
Messi's penalty struggles and game theory intro
Mixed strategies and unpredictability in penalties
Rock, paper, scissors and real-world randomness
Ignacio Palacios-Huerta's penalty database
2008 Champions League final penalty shootout analysis
Modern penalty preparation: data vs. psychology
Outro: Listener requests and credits
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