Planet Money Planet Money

How to win a penalty shootout (with game theory)

Jul 3, 2026 · 17m

Summary

Planet Money explores how game theory and data analytics have transformed soccer penalty kicks, featuring experts from the Soccernomics podcast. The episode details economist Ignacio Palacios-Huerta’s research on mixed strategies and his pivotal role in the 2008 Champions League final, where Chelsea’s reliance on his data ultimately backfired. It also examines how modern teams now combine statistical reports with psychological preparation to master the mind games of shootouts.

Topics discussed

Intro: Tiny Desk Contest Tour and Planet Money Messi's penalty struggles and game theory intro Mixed strategies and unpredictability in penalties Rock, paper, scissors and real-world randomness Ignacio Palacios-Huerta's penalty database 2008 Champions League final penalty shootout analysis Modern penalty preparation: data vs. psychology Outro: Listener requests and credits
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