Why the Midterms Suddenly Look So Bad for Republicans
Summary
Derek Thompson and Nate Silver analyze the 2026 midterms, noting that Democrats have surged to a 60% chance of winning the Senate due to Trump’s collapsing approval ratings and the Iran war. Silver explains how rising gas prices and a "thermostatic" backlash against incumbents have shifted polls, while also discussing how Democrats’ decentralized candidate selection is outperforming the Republican party’s loyalty-driven strategy. The conversation covers specific state races, the impact of AI politics, and why historical midterm trends suggest a significant Democratic wave is likely.
Listen ad-free on Castria