On The Market On The Market

The Path to 8% Mortgage Rates

Sep 29, 2026 · 27m

Summary

Host Dave Meyer joins Kathy and James to discuss the recent surge in bond yields and its impact on the housing market. They analyze the implications of potential 8% mortgage rates, noting that while demand may drop, supply constraints and seller concessions could create buying opportunities. The guests share their strategies for navigating volatility, emphasizing the importance of long-term investment over panic selling. The episode concludes with a personal discussion on downsizing and house hacking as a way to reduce living costs and increase financial flexibility.

Topics discussed

Intro: Bond yields, housing market, and guest introductions Investor sentiment: Grinding through the current market Portfolio updates: Short-term rentals and regional markets Market fears: BlackRock stress tests and 8% rate predictions Mechanics of rising rates: Demand, supply, and inventory Historical context and adapting investment strategies Sponsor breaks and return to discussion Psychology of buyers, refis, and geopolitical impacts Winter buying opportunities and building a foundation Affordability, seller concessions, and equity reality Sponsor breaks and return to discussion Personal case study: Downsizing and house hacking in Seattle Local market nuances and final advice on timing Conclusion: Long-term optimism and closing remarks
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