Odd Lots Odd Lots

The Tungsten Market Is Warning of an Upcoming War

Aug 3, 2026 · 44m

Summary

Hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway discuss tungsten’s strategic importance with Bloomberg’s David Fickling, who reports on a restarting mine in Tasmania. They explore how tungsten serves as a "prediction market" for war due to its military uses, while noting China’s dominance and the lack of a futures market. The conversation highlights the economic challenges of diversifying supply away from China amid rising geopolitical tensions.

Topics discussed

Sponsors: Interactive Brokers, 4imprint, and Optum The Tungsten Cube craze and its connection to war Interview with David Fickling on tungsten's military history Tungsten's industrial uses and the Dolphin mine in Australia China's dominance and the lack of a tungsten futures market Geopolitical risks, export controls, and price volatility Sponsors: IBM and Wise Critical minerals, asteroid mining, and substitution risks Conclusion: Supply chain resilience and show credits
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