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Why Most AI Projects Will Fail — And How to Find the Companies That Won't

Jul 12, 2026 · 26m

Summary

Motley Fool Analyst Rachel Warren interviews Steve Lucas, CEO of Boomi, about the shift from AI hype to demanding real ROI. Lucas argues that while NVIDIA profits, many model builders lose money, and enterprise AI spending faces scrutiny. He predicts the next wave of winners will be data infrastructure firms like Snowflake and Databricks. Lucas emphasizes trust, unique data assets, and new customer acquisition as key investment signals.

Topics discussed

Introduction: Steve Lucas and the shift from AI hype to ROI The end of the blank check era: Rising AI spending and pressure for returns Grace period ending: Project failures and the high cost of frontier models Trust as the key barrier to AI adoption in enterprises Next wave of winners: Data infrastructure and unique data assets Monetization challenges for frontier AI model companies AI as a convenient excuse for corporate layoffs Sponsored segments: Schwab, Vanguard, and Quince Investment signals: New logo acquisition as a metric of success Personal perspective: AI's potential in healthcare and privacy concerns
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