How much luck do you need to win the World Cup?
Summary
This episode of More or Less investigates the role of luck in winning the World Cup, featuring experts Ian Graham, Luis Nunez-Vincente, and David Sumter. They analyze data showing football’s low-scoring nature makes it highly unpredictable compared to other sports. The discussion covers underdog success rates, the impact of seeding, and how expected goals (xG) helps quantify skill versus randomness in match outcomes.
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