Law and Chaos Law and Chaos

Ep 260 — The State of the Senate 2026 (feat. Joe Dye)

Sep 4, 2026 · 1h 18m

Summary

Hosts Liz Dwan and Andrew Torres discuss Trump’s illegal attempt to block mail-in ballots, the firing of Fox Business host Maria Bartoloma, and federal charges against ICE agent Christian Castro. Polling expert Joe Dai analyzes the tight Senate race, noting Democrats must flip four seats to regain control. They examine long-shot opportunities in South Carolina, Mississippi, and Nebraska, highlighting weak Republican candidates and potential Democratic gains in the upcoming midterms.

Topics discussed

Intro: GOP alienating moderate voters and show housekeeping Legal analysis: Trump's postal ballot verification order and court rulings ICE agent Christian Castro charged with false statements Fox Business fires Maria Bartiromo and speculation on reasons Ad break: Orderly Meds Senate overview: Democrats need 4 seats to retake control Key targets: North Carolina, Maine, and potential wildcards Historical context: Midterm swings and incumbent performance Long shot: South Carolina race between Darlene Graham and Annie Andrews Long shot: Mississippi race involving Cindy Hyde-Smith Independents: Dan Osborne in Nebraska and Seth Bodnar in Montana Long shot: Florida race between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon Ad breaks: Serval, Talkspace, and Happy GLP Democratic holds: Michigan and New Hampshire races Georgia and North Carolina: Strong Democratic prospects Maine: Sara Gideon vs. Susan Collins Ohio and Iowa: Sherrod Brown and Josh Turek races Alaska: Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan and ranked-choice voting Texas: James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton and final predictions
Listen ad-free on Castria