Ep 260 — The State of the Senate 2026 (feat. Joe Dye)
Sep 4, 2026 · 1h 18m
Summary
Hosts Liz Dwan and Andrew Torres discuss Trump’s illegal attempt to block mail-in ballots, the firing of Fox Business host Maria Bartoloma, and federal charges against ICE agent Christian Castro. Polling expert Joe Dai analyzes the tight Senate race, noting Democrats must flip four seats to regain control. They examine long-shot opportunities in South Carolina, Mississippi, and Nebraska, highlighting weak Republican candidates and potential Democratic gains in the upcoming midterms.
Topics discussed
Intro: GOP alienating moderate voters and show housekeeping
Legal analysis: Trump's postal ballot verification order and court rulings
ICE agent Christian Castro charged with false statements
Fox Business fires Maria Bartiromo and speculation on reasons
Ad break: Orderly Meds
Senate overview: Democrats need 4 seats to retake control
Key targets: North Carolina, Maine, and potential wildcards
Historical context: Midterm swings and incumbent performance
Long shot: South Carolina race between Darlene Graham and Annie Andrews
Long shot: Mississippi race involving Cindy Hyde-Smith
Independents: Dan Osborne in Nebraska and Seth Bodnar in Montana
Long shot: Florida race between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon
Ad breaks: Serval, Talkspace, and Happy GLP
Democratic holds: Michigan and New Hampshire races
Georgia and North Carolina: Strong Democratic prospects
Maine: Sara Gideon vs. Susan Collins
Ohio and Iowa: Sherrod Brown and Josh Turek races
Alaska: Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan and ranked-choice voting
Texas: James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton and final predictions
Listen ad-free on Castria