John Mearsheimer - Offensive Realism John Mearsheimer - Offensive Realism

We’ll Never Beat the Houthis

Oct 9, 2026 · 10m

Summary

John Mearsheimer argues against a US war with the Houthis, noting that previous attempts to defeat them failed and depleted critical munitions. He asserts the US lacks a winning strategy against either the Houthis or Iran, warning that escalating conflict would invite Iranian intervention and further damage to Saudi oil infrastructure.

Topics discussed

Introduction and the question from Ed Hod App 6465 Defining the current state of US-Iran and Houthi-Saudi conflicts Review of the failed 2025 US campaign against the Houthis Strategic threat assessment of the Houthis to US interests Munitions shortages and the logic of avoiding Houthi conflict Houthi capability to damage critical Saudi oil infrastructure Risk of Iranian intervention if the US escalates against Houthis Conclusion: The lack of a winning US strategy in the Middle East
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