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Carissa Véliz– AI, Prediction, and the Fight for the Future

Aug 14, 2026 · 59m

Summary

Carissa Véliz discusses her book *Prophecy*, arguing that statistical predictions are not facts but power plays that often create self-fulfilling prophecies. She warns against the encroachment of algorithmic prediction in social and political spheres, highlighting how it undermines democracy and individual autonomy. Véliz advocates for skepticism toward tech executives' forecasts and suggests citizens resist surveillance by choosing analog alternatives and demanding policy guardrails.

Topics discussed

Sponsor: Indeed Sponsored Jobs Introduction and guest Carissa Vélis Predictions as educated guesses vs facts Predictions as speech acts and power plays The history of divination and prediction business King Louis XI and the astrologer anecdote Building immunity to algorithmic predictions Citizen resistance and self-fulfilling prophecies Legal challenges and societal benefits Sponsor: KeyBank Tech executives and AI doom scenarios Proposed limits on prediction and justice Preparation vs prediction and insurance principles Democracy, optimism, and the role of philosophy Probabilistic thinking and ancient philosophy Audience Q&A: Surveillance and data collection Sponsor: Shopify Algorithmic engagement and toxic content Effective resistance and cherishing the analog Surveillance, AI risk, and societal blind spots Journalism's role in reporting predictions Challenging algorithmic determinations Sponsor: KeyBank Autonomy, creativity, and humor Health tech, AI in medicine, and evidence Privacy, democracy, and the present moment Closing thoughts and credits Sponsor: The Devil Wears Prada 2
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