Will higher oil prices and rates slow down the economy?
Jul 23, 2026 · 22m
Summary
HousingWire Daily features lead analyst Logan Motoshami discussing how rising oil prices and interest rates may slow the economy without triggering a recession. They analyze the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, noting that bond markets have already priced in tighter policy, while mortgage spreads keep rates near 6.8%. The conversation also covers the impact of potential Canadian tariffs, Middle East conflicts on oil, and recent flat trends in mortgage purchase applications.
Topics discussed
Introduction and top trending articles on HousingWire
Mortgage spreads and their impact on current rates
Recession fears vs. economic reality and Fed goals
Fed meeting outlook and bond market dynamics
Labor market slowdown and geopolitical conflict effects
Tariff uncertainties and oil price volatility
Housing market resilience and rate sensitivity
Sponsor message: Estate Agent Growth
Fed Chair Powell's limited influence and voting dynamics
Purchase application data seasonality and housing trends
Outro and call to action
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