Model Citizens | Pre Season | FPL 26/27 | EP.206 | Part 1 - Who are the 'optimal' FPL picks?
Summary
FPL Nightmare joins the Black Box to discuss using aggregated analytics from Solio, Scout, Review, and Apocalypse to refine FPL drafts. They analyze top projected scorers like Haaland and Palmer, debating model limitations regarding injuries and new managers. The episode covers strategic chip usage, differential picks like Wirtz over Szoboszlai, and the high variance in Chelsea players, aiming for a top 10k finish.
Topics discussed
Sponsors: The Dog Stars and Indeed
Host intro: Personal struggles and FPL focus
Discussion on using FPL models and projections
Refining drafts and comparing model accuracy
Explaining projected points and standard deviations
Sponsor: Odoo business software
Team analysis: Liverpool and Newcastle outlooks
Model limitations and specific player picks
Sponsor: Planet FPL Correspondence Week
Top projected players: Haaland and Palmer
Isak injury risks and Newcastle transfer issues
Defender analysis: Gabriel, Verts, and Soboszlai
Newcastle vs Liverpool and midfield differentials
Sponsor: Apple Card
Defcon analysis and top 5 model favorites
Identifying risky picks and team composition
Team-specific projections: Liverpool, Palace, Villa
Model disagreements and Chelsea player analysis
Remaining team projections and player debates
Strategy: Sticking with steady picks at season start
Ownership vs projected points correlation
Value picks: Best bang for your buck
Pricing analysis and Arsenal defender options
Outro and Patreon promotion
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