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Who's Actually Winning This Economy?

Aug 11, 2026 ยท 19m

Topics discussed

Introduction and guest welcome July jobs report: Payroll decline and unemployment drop Labor force participation decline and early retirements Shift to asset-based income and demographic trends Fed rate hike probabilities and Kevin Warsh's stance Yield curve signals and Fed lagging inflation Political pressure on the Fed and upcoming Jackson Hole Risks of continued payroll declines for expansion Market reaction to Middle East uncertainty and rates AI-driven earnings growth vs. consumer weakness Consumer discretionary stocks and credit delinquencies Perception of economic pain vs. asset wealth gap AI impact on employment in tech and finance sectors Healthcare sector stability due to aging population Japan yen carry trade risks and global financial stability US-Japan coordination on bond markets and rates Closing remarks and legal disclosures
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