MAGA Pollster Thinks Texas, Ohio and Even KANSAS Could Turn Blue (w/ Rich Baris)
Sep 3, 2026 · 31m
Summary
Pollster Rich Barris joins Tim Miller to discuss why MAGA voters are disillusioned with Trump’s current foreign policy focus, particularly the Iran conflict, which has alienated the base that prioritized domestic issues. Barris argues that Republicans are misreading electoral trends in states like Michigan and Texas, where Trump’s unique coalition does not transfer to down-ballot races. He also previews his book on young Americans’ radical demands, warning that both parties risk collapse if they ignore these shifting demographics.
Topics discussed
Intro: Rich Barris on MAGA identity and past polling accuracy
Trump's shift from domestic focus to foreign policy obsession
Voter disillusionment with Trump's messianic rhetoric
MAGA base anger over Milo Yiannopoulos and immigration enforcement
The Epstein narrative and perceived ruling class hypocrisy
Addressing polling misses and the 'summer lull' phenomenon
Michigan Senate race: Why Republicans are misreading the state
Vulnerabilities in red states: Kansas, Texas, and Florida maps
Georgia and Texas: Loss of Trump's non-white coalition gains
Trump's path forward: Ending the war and addressing cost of living
Book pitch: Young Americans' radical views and future politics
Listen ad-free on Castria