Breaking Down: Collapse Breaking Down: Collapse

Daily Episode 266 - An Accelerating Rate of the Rate of Accelaration

Oct 20, 2026 · 15m

Summary

This episode analyzes new scientific evidence that the global warming rate has doubled, projecting a 1.5°C breach by 2028 and 2°C by 2040, far earlier than previous models predicted. The hosts discuss how existing climate models fail to capture this acceleration and review reports indicating Earth’s vital signs are reaching record extremes. The discussion concludes by examining the Thwaites "Doomsday" Glacier, noting that new findings suggest its melting could double sea-level rise estimates due to complex tidal pumping mechanisms.

Topics discussed

Welcome and advice for new listeners Sponsor: Perk travel and spend platform Sponsor: Zen nicotine pouches Sponsor: Weight Loss by HERS Introduction: Global warming rate has doubled Paper analysis: 1.5C breach projected for 2028 Scientific data: Doubling of warming rate since 2011 Skepticism on remaining window for climate action Second paper: Earth moving into uncharted territory Fossil fuel consumption and emissions records Shift from future warning to present diagnosis Sponsors: Perk and Zen Feedback loops: Thwaites Glacier melting faster Thwaites Glacier mechanics and sea level rise impact Grounding zone dynamics and tidal pumping Uncertainty in projections and future monitoring plans Closing remarks and Tesla flying car joke Sponsors: Perk, Zen, and Grainger Outro: Encouraging listeners to catch up on daily episodes
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