Ep215: Stop Chanting for the Bear. Wipe Off the Pentagram, It's DeJar-Moo Season.
Summary
The host shifts from a bearish stance to a bullish outlook, citing historical seasonal data indicating strong Q4 performance in midterm election years. He analyzes S&P 500 consolidations, noting that while short-term price action remains neutral, sentiment indicators suggest a turning point. The episode also covers crude oil and Bitcoin range patterns, emphasizing the importance of separating personal opinion from systematic trading setups.
Topics discussed
Introduction: Shifting from bearish to bullish outlook
Abandoning bearish rituals and focusing on trading
Seasonal cycles and the timing of bear markets
Analyzing bullish data from the Trader's Almanac
Historical performance of Q4 and midterm years
Reviewing the recent slow bearish correction
Current price consolidation and entry patterns
Key price levels for bullish and bearish triggers
Market sentiment and moving average extremes
Anticipating the year-end and Christmas rally
Crude oil consolidation and options strategy
Bitcoin range patterns and evolving chart structures
Using target zones for confirmation over exact prices
Personal health update and community shout-outs
Importance of following data over personal opinion
Promotion of Antivesta and closing remarks
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