We Are NOT Living in a Simulation. Probably. - Dr. David Kipping | After Skool
Summary
Dr. David Kipping applies Bayesian statistics to simulation theory, arguing that the probability of us being un-simulated is actually greater than 50% when accounting for the possibility that simulation technology is impossible. He also explores "Carroll's contradiction," a logical flaw suggesting that if simulated realities exist, most would be at the bottom of the hierarchy and lack the computational power to create further simulations, contradicting the premise that we are in a simulation.
Topics discussed
Sponsor: LinkedIn Hiring Pro
Sponsor: Blinds.com Labor Day Sale
Sponsor: Visible 5G Data
Introduction to Simulation Theory and Bayesian Stats
Scenario A: Simulation Technology is Impossible
Scenario B: The Probability of Base Reality
Calculating the Combined Probability of Simulation
Subjective vs Objective Priors in Inference
Introduction to Sean Carroll and His Work
Carroll's Contradiction: The Hierarchy of Simulations
The Computational Limits of Simulated Realities
The 'Sewer of Reality' and Infertile Simulations
The Logical Contradiction of the Simulation Hypothesis
Ongoing Research and Correspondence with Sean Carroll
Outro and Promotion of Dr. David Kipping Episode
Sponsor: Blinds.com Labor Day Sale
Sponsor: Uber Eats Back-to-School
Sponsor: American Express Business Card
Sponsor: Verizon NFL Sunday Ticket
Sponsor: Feeding America Hunger Action Month
Sponsor: Avatar Fire and Ash on Disney Plus
Listen ad-free on Castria